No More Pretending
Delusional hope produces nothing of value. Throughout my life I have sought to see things as they are. The past few months have provided me the opportunity to ponder current events against the tapestry of history.
“We have destroyed the Holocene biosphere, and it can never be rebuilt. We have inadvertently terraformed Earth into a different planet. This act cannot be undone; it is thermodynamically irreversible.” Desdemona
I leave it to climate change deniers to explain the recent wholesale collapse of fisheries with the increase in both reef and oceanic dead zones, the desertification of the world’s most productive land and the rapid transition from forest to desert by mega-fires.
The once frozen “methane bomb” has already gone off. The Arctic permafrost is already melting.
Large areas of Earth are becoming uninhabitable to mammals and their food plants. Most charismatic megafauna, such as elephants, rhinos and whales, will become extinct in a few decades. It is entirely likely that humans will follow them into oblivion.
For sure, this will be a bumpy road to total collapse and a few will manage to arrive in luxury SUVs. The rest of us, the vast majority, will see family and friends fall as we circle the drain together.
There are still resources that could be directed towards easing the necessary scaling back of empire and civilization as we know it. Scaling back in and of itself would help a great deal, perhaps forestalling human extinction as we adapt to an Earth that every day becomes more like Mars.
While President Obama takes on the ‘fat cat’ bankers the underlying collapse of the United State financial industry has yet to be addressed. The root problem is an excessive level of debt in the system at all levels, a level of debt that exceeds capacity to pay.
The problem in a nutshell – the banks are still hiding losses – big losses. Very little of the debt securitized by the housing bubble has been written off or yet foreclosed upon.
Loans are not being made to small business people because they have no collateral to pledge. Being asked to pledge personal assets as collateral for a small business loan is standard operating procedure.
With most homes underwater, most small businesspeople have no assets to pledge as collateral. Debt problems go beyond the largest banks.
China bought zero U.S. Treasury debt in October. Now foreigners have become net sellers of U.S. Treasury debt instruments.
The problems began when raw materials producers stopped receiving parity pricing and needed to borrow in able to start a new round of production. A principle method of under-paying, paying less than parity, appears in the form of paying in debased money.
Meanwhile, here we are, nearly a year under a new administration. For feds, more get 6-figure salaries, in an attempt to keep up with debasement of U.S. money.
Seduced And Abandoned
Both Democrats and Republicans demonstrate a history of saying whatever seems required to become elected, seduce the electorate, and upon election conveniently explaining away or otherwise abandoning their earlier promises.
Everyone seems to condemn this behavior between individuals. The victims often appear unable to disengage on their own initiative. If fortunate, their family and/or friends provide counseling and intervention to help end these cycles of abuse.
Yet society as a whole suffers serial victimizations by these two mainstream political parties. Ever since the Reagan Administration identified government as the problem the resulting orgy of deregulation and bureaucratic bloating continues unabated from one election to the next.
Some wish to call them incompetent idiots. Others wish to call them lying frauds. I suggest we make peace and call them incompetent lying idiot frauds.
The system they destroy also provides all the wealth and power expended in the destruction. Literally self-destruction. It seems an entire spectrum of pathologies plague our financialized government.
Narcissism
Borderline Personality Disorder
Characteropathy
Sociopathy
Psychopathy
Witness the unnecessary pain, suffering and death. Unnecessary because it results from a financial services industry that compounds debt exponentially inevitably demands more wealth than the total sum of raw materials entering the economy.
Unnecessary because the government fails to enforce the Prompt Corrective Action Law and administers regulation in the interest of the financial services industry contrary to the interests of citizens.
This occurs simultaneously with a prison industry growing faster than it can expand, militarization of local police forces, the historic first ever active deployment of U.S. Armed Forces within the United States of America, de facto nullification of the Bill of Rights and an overall heightening of domestic security.
I hope you are debt free and likewise free from any form of wage slavery. At least that can give you a running start.
Timing The Collapse
For anyone without income, a home or even hope, the collapse has already happened. The number of those people on the ropes certainly seems to be increasing daily.
On the other hand, in this personal sense, you may not experience collapse during your lifetime. Of course that is not what the doom and gloomers say.
I used to be a doom and gloomer, an authentic doomsday freak pointing out the failures of our system and its imminent collapse. I’ve learned to temper my fears simply by living long enough.
However, in a larger more empirical sense, we may ask what exactly constitutes a societal collapse. Here we are asking about the nature of the collapse of the Euro-American Empire indicated by the ongoing disintegration of its global hegemony.
If you are someone who does not want to read social criticism, stop now.
If you are worried about you head exploding when you are presented with new information, stop now.
OK, now that I know you are willing to deal with this, I will continue.
As a first step, we have to acknowledge certain conclusions by Karl Marx. I know he is widely disparaged in the mainstream media, at community colleges nationwide and in state universities structured to provide occupational training in technical fields.
Rest assured, at elite institutions training the nest generation of leaders Karl Marx is read and discussed. The children of the hegemonic elite destined to inherit the reigns of power over 99.5% of the rest us know and study his work.
Well, they do if they actually did the work and didn’t just have their families purchase their degrees with another endowment. But that is another issue.
Sure, Karl Marx gets a bad name because of the abuses of the word ‘communist‘ by authoritarian megalomaniacs. To be honest, the world has never seen an authentic communist system in operation.
Part of the problem is that in the day and age of Karl Marx communication was a problem for those living in rural areas. Most people living today cannot imagine the isolation experienced by those living outside of city limits.
Karl Marx proposed an urban workers’ vanguard party to represent those in the hinter lands. This idea of a vanguard party has been much abused by totalitarian regimes around the world that bear little resemblance to his proposed communal life.
He was spot on in exposing the fatal flaw in capitalism. Bear in mind that Karl Marx thought capitalism was a good thing at the time and a step in the right direction away from the manorial serfdom that was the previous norm.
Anyway, capitalism depends upon continuous growth.
The capitalistic system just does not function as a steady state model.
Growth is required to pay off the interest charged on the debt incurred during the capitalization of industry and business. Without growth, only enough profit is made to pay off the principle.
Karl Marx realized that the earth is finite and possesses limited non-renewable resources. Once capitalism went world-wide it was destined to collapse.
In the time of Karl Marx, world-wide pretty much meant Europe in the predominant narrow ethnocentric view. And there were those of his (and later) generations who just couldn’t wait.
Just like the early Christians who grew impatient with God’s promise to destroy the world and started setting fires to help God out, early adopters of the Communist Manifesto perceived revolution as the fast track to post-capitalism.
That turned out badly for all concerned, both Christians and communists.
Karl Marx merely pointed out that given the requirements of capitalism regarding growth, eventually it would hit the limits of growth. With this realization he predicted the certain collapse of capitalism and projected forward from there, betting on human intelligence to come up with something better.
Of course, he thought he was as smart as anyone and perhaps he was. Anyway, communism was merely his projection into the unknowable future and the actual shape of things to come is totally up for grabs.
It is understandable that capitalists the world over took offense. This became the primary driver for political acrimony and national conflict ever since, at least as far as the general public was concerned.
Anyway, capitalism did hit the wall in the early 1970s. China, the last big holdout market, joined in capitalist expansion and left capitalism with no place else to grow.
A whole slew of events indicate the truth in this. Not only did we see the abandonment of the gold standard in the U.S. and the free floating of the U.S. dollar but we also saw the beginning of the first giant debt bubbles.
I first ran away to the mountains in the 1970s believing the collapse was in motion. I was right about that but wrong about the timing regarding my personal situation in the U.S.
The capitalistic hegemons turned to their own populations and began capitalistically monetizing every aspect of personal life, expanding into spheres of influence long felt to be intrinsically off limits. They did this with the full support of governments indebted to their central banks.
The FIRE (finance, insurance, real estate) sector of the economy merged to form the financial services industry once government regulations that previously prevented this were abandoned. We now live in the era when all biopolitical production falls under capitalist control through the monetization of the once common property of social networks.
Without real growth, growth that is only possible through capitalist expansion into new markets, debt accumulates with no possibility of ever being paid off. The ballooning consumer debt, commercial debt and government debt are merely symptoms of the current crisis of capitalism.
The global debt crisis is a symptom of capitalism reaching the limits of growth.
This largely financial crisis will predictably cause a great deal of needless pain, suffering and death but all by itself is something that the human race as a whole can overcome. History is full of examples of empires falling in part due to the debasement of their currency by corrupt politicians and their financial handlers yet people survived to prosper again.
However, in the effort to extract greater profits by depressing the price of labor through population overshoot to produce a surplus supply of labor, other limits have been quickly approached. Paid labor, after all, originated after the population collapsed during the Great Plague and is part of the foundation of capitalism itself.
History indicates that the loss of productive farm land through extractive agricultural methods and the resulting decrease in productivity, coupled with erosion, also contributed to the collapse of empires. Despite so-called advances in food production, decreasing food value and exploding populations drive us towards a Malthusian Catastrophe of global proportions.
The so-called advances in food production have literally been fueled by the extravagant use of non-renewable hydrocarbons. Not only that, but civilization itself, especially as we have experienced it, has been literally fueled by the extravagant use of non-renewable hydrocarbons.
The remaining hydrocarbon reserves are being used by the global hegemonic elite to maintain their positions of privilege and power rather than used to enable a transition to another form of civilization. The U.S. armed forces is the largest user of non-renewable hydrocarbons and it is a safe bet that they will use the last of the extractable reserves maintaining the privilege and power of the global hegemonic elite.
This greatly complicates things.
Empires have fallen due to financial collapse and agricultural collapse but none have faced the exhaustion of non-renewable hydrocarbons. This evokes the specter of peak oil.
All the statistics surrounding peak oil originate from within the oil industry itself. We simply cannot know if peak oil is real or simply a clever ploy to increase profits.
In any event, either actual or engineered scarcity will drive huge profits even higher until it is no longer economically viable to extract hydrocarbons from the earth. People just are not prepared for that and, in fact, the global hegemonic elite works against even the possibility of energy independence.
Then there is the issue of climate change as it seems no longer politically correct to refer to global warming. In the end it does not matter if it was caused by people or not because it is happening and the hegemonic elite refuse to risk their privilege and power to enable meaningful change.
Population overshoot, financial collapse, agricultural collapse, exhaustion of non-renewable hydrocarbons, climate change and the machinations of the global power structure to stay in power creates an environment ripe for rampant deadly new diseases. The next Great Plague is now overdue and the ability to globally respond to it with adequate measures simply degrades by the hour.
Plastic pollution, acidification of the oceans and the collapse of one fishery after another are all further symptoms of an impending global collapse of Biblical proportions. This situation is real and very few are even thinking about preparing for it.
Think about preparing for collapse now.
Do you really want to be dependent on society as it is currently structured?
It seems to me that in order to prepare, concerned people need to be reducing dependence upon the status quo. This is becoming increasingly difficult to do because every effort to disengage from the system will be perceived by the system as an act of rebellion, criminal and terroristic.
I believe some people will survive and a few will continue to live relatively well. But to be able to do so will involve becoming responsible for all aspects of your own life.
It may well be that it will be only the minority who actually does the work to prepare will become the few who survive. And eventually, as the facts of the case become irrefutable and obvious to many more people, the remaining carrying capacity of the planet will not support those who start too late.
As long as the system prevails, you will have access to the Internet. The Internet offers more possibilities for creating income independent of mainstream employment than any brick and mortar opportunity in the world.
Perhaps you should be thinking about creating your own Internet business sooner rather that later. Then you will have a measure of control over timing the collapse, at least as far as your personal life is concerned.
What do you think?
Resilience Economics
Useful Resilience Economics needs more than theoretical responses to scenario sketches. Thought experiments will not be enough to get you moving towards a more secure economic status today.
The current economic collapse appears unique within the history of economic collapses because we have lost our inherent safety net that traditionally cushioned downturns. The very same so-called “Masters of The Universe” who drove the current economy into the wall have already cannibalized our ability to weather failure gracefully especially in the United States and Europe.
The decades of economic attacks upon family farms leave us vulnerable to a very hard landing in which millions will suffer death through the deprivation of essential food and shelter. During the Great Depression of the 1930s many of the urban homeless and unemployed factory workers found sanctuary on the family farm.
We may now only look back with fond nostalgia at how we lived a couple of generations ago. In hindsight the wisdom of Raw Material Economics proves itself.
As long as we have adequate food and shelter the micro-production of goods and intellectual content can provide for the rest of us. Gone are the days of relying upon those “too big to fail” for our well-being.
The current crop of academically educated economists only argue about how to best preserve the current financial system with all of its structural inequities and invitations for fraud. They are not prepared to consider an egalitarian diverse decentralized distributed economics that possesses intrinsic resilience.
Unfortunately, current administration policies continue the practice of punishing family farmers for the benefit of the financial services industry. Unless you have income from off the farm, you will have to wait until the current economic collapse deepens before re-establishing family farms becomes feasible.
Until then, it promises to be a very bumpy ride and expect to see a great deal of volatility in all markets. Still you have options over the short term and while they exist now would be a good time to explore them.
First, if you now depend upon those “too big to fail” for your income, including all branches of government, the dominant banks and the multinational corporations, now is the time to act on an exit plan. While some employers may be able to restructure their businesses to offer a measure of economic security to employees, these smaller companies will be targeted by government taxmen eager to take away profits and hostile takeovers by predatory corporations.
Second, traditional passive income from investments will become increasingly unreliable and ultimately insufficient as the current economic collapse deepens. You must find a way to become productive while maintaining control over your pricing to be able to respond to deflation, inflation, stagflation and whatever other curve balls the banksters throw.
Of course, a total collapse or even near total collapse will have us all scrambling for food and shelter while those who have stockpiled and continue to hoard will be faced with increasing physical security demands. Police and the armed forces will be the last elements of the status quo to collapse and they will be looking for stockpiled food themselves.
The issue remains of determining what to do between now and a very possible then. Without a doubt having an independent income based upon your own productive capacity will likely become necessary.
While climate change, resource depletion and unsupportable population levels will certainly complicate the issue, realistically there seems very little you or I can do about that. At least if you maintain the capability to produce at parity, that is the sale of your production not only supports your existence but also allows you enough profit to begin another round of production without debt while saving enough to survive unexpected events, then you may have a future.
Maintaining mobility ability is a bonus that could literally become lifesaving. For example, areas of the Oregon coast that once appeared desirable because of the local abundance of seafood are now adjacent to growing oceanic dead zones devoid of any sea life at all.
Expect volatility in all aspects of life. With all of this in mind, an online business seems to be a good bet to me.
If running an online business seems to be beyond your capacity then you owe it to yourself to honestly investigate it because all sorts of people have learned how to run an online business. Now would be a good time to start.
William K Black American Hero
William K. Black wrote about the Prompt Corrective Action Law in Huffington Post on February 23, 2009 in an article titled Why Is Geithner Continuing Paulson’s Policy of Violating the Law?
The Bill Moyers interview of April 3, 2009 catapulted both William K. Black and the Prompt Corrective Action Law into national awareness. I urge everyone to watch this interview as many times as individually necessary to fully understand the discussion.
Part 1
Part 2
Part 3
William K. Black began writing for Huffington Post on February 10, 2009 with an article titled The Audacity of Dopes where he says
Geithner’s gifts to the bankers that caused the crisis include: a unnecessary taxpayer bailout of “risk capital,” a massive coverup of their banks’ insolvency, gutting the proposed limits on executive compensation, and devising a “guarantee” mechanism designed to hide the expenses of the unprincipled bailouts from the American public.
to convey the extent of the fraud perpetrated at U.S. taxpayer expense. He goes on to indicate how this became possible due to the current structure of the financial services industry. In fact if we do not move to change things the fraud will continue because
Remember, executive compensation is not “merely” a fairness issue. Executive compensation and the compensation systems used for appraisers, accountants, and rating agencies were designed, and served, to create the perverse incentives and ethical rot that caused the ongoing financial crises by producing a “Gresham’s dynamic” in which fraudulent and abusive lending and accounting practices drove good practices out of the marketplace.
that forestalls efforts to redeem the status quo. We are faced with the very real possiblity that the state is irrevocably corrupt and that legal approaches alone will never win justice.
The concept of “control fraud” introduced by William K. Black, see e.g. When Fragile becomes Friable: Endemic Control Fraud as a Cause of Economic Stagnation and Collapse (pdf),
Individual “control frauds” cause greater losses than all other forms of property crime combined. They are financial super-predators. Control frauds are crimes led by the head of state or CEO that use the nation or company as a fraud vehicle. Waves of “control fraud” can cause economic collapses, damage and discredit key institutions vital to good political governance, and erode trust…
Economic theory about fraud is underdeveloped, core neo-classical theories imply that major frauds are trivial, economists are not taught about fraud and fraud mechanisms, and neo-classical economists minimize the incidence and importance of fraud for reasons of self-interest, class and ideology.
Neo-classical economics’ understanding of fraud is so weak that its policy prescriptions, if adopted wholly, produce strongly criminogenic environments that cause waves of control fraud. Neo-classical policies simultaneously make control fraud easier and more lucrative, dramatically reduce the risk of detection and prosecution by maximizing “systems capacity” problems, and encourage crime by making it easier for fraudsters to “neutralize” the social and psychological constraints against deceit and fraud. Thus the paradox: neo-classical economic triumphs produce tragedy…
which indicates why money should be handled as any other public utility instead of for the benefit of a handful of banksters.
Until that time in the indefinite future when we can trust government it behooves each and every individual to limit their exposure to the financial services industry and end dependency upon any business susceptible to their corruption.
This means you need to have control over your income. Control over your income only happens when you run your own business.
I will explore more benefits of creating an online business in future articles.
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